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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ · 10,060 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet msrcap2 took Yes (sell) for $10.0k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Apr 27, 12:30 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- msrcap2
- Tx
- 0xbebfbc11…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+8.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsYes price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.5k | excluded |