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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +8.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+8.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$101.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3,032
Last 30 days +$0 · $891.8k volume · 2,024 trades · since Mar 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$5,062
Open P&L · 31 positions
−$2,105
Closed-position win rate
72%
279 closed
Wallet age · markets
212d
295 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +8.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $13.8k | called |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $48.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.3¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbb72d6…