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What this means. A wallet put $17.8k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.8k
BUY Argentina @ 74¢ · 24,136 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xcfa2…edf9 took Argentina (buy) for $17.8k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−281American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 73.8%
- As American odds
- −281 no vig
- Size
- $17.8k
- Placed
- Jul 09, 18:24 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xcfa2…edf9
- Tx
- 0xbe6190fd…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+26.2 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +26 ptsArgentina price · entry 74¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $189.2k 11.9× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |