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What this means. A wallet put $35.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded
$35.0k
BUY No @ 35¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet SemyonMarmeladov took No (buy) for $35.0k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $35.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
35¢
Implied odds
35.0%
As American odds
+186 no vig
Size
$35.0k
Placed
Mar 01, 11:26 EST
Market close
Mar 01, 11:30 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
SemyonMarmeladov
Tx
0xbddf9f5c…
This wallet's graded record
3/7-4.3 pts
expected 3.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -35 pts
No price · entry 35¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 35¢ · $35.0k WHALE $35.0K @ 35¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.1k0% 0x3ae5…ead2236d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.0k0% praktor236d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $152.8k
8.3× usual
0% 0xeac4…c1dd236d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.1k0% coinlaundry236d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.5k0% cy14236d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.6k0% hanlun236d agoexcluded