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What this means. A wallet put $93.9k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$93.9k
BUY Argentina @ 93¢ · 100,971 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1h4.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Argentina (buy) for $93.9k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $93.9k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 93.0%
- As American odds
- −1329 no vig
- Size
- $93.9k
- Placed
- Jul 02, 22:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 03, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0xbd00c7b7…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +7 ptsArgentina price · entry 93¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | MED SELL Argentina @ 96.2¢ | $45.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |