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What this means. A wallet put $41.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$41.7k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 41,749 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports

What happened

Wallet chinamax took Yes (sell) for $41.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $41.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$41.7k
Placed
Jul 19, 18:44 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
chinamax
Tx
0xbcdfcee1…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-28.0 pts
expected 1.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $41.7k WHALE $41.7K @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $35.7k0% Deido97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $43.0k0% neymar197d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $26.7k0% 0x929a…a3d897d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $100.3k0% Djdjdjekekek97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $64.7k0% 0x37ee…f86f97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% Nihaww97d agoexcluded