← Live flags
Nuggets vs. Thunderexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $50.1k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Thunderexcluded$50.1k
BUY Thunder @ 70¢ · 71,553 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet statwC00KS took Thunder (buy) for $50.1k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−233American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 70.0%
- As American odds
- −233 no vig
- Size
- $50.1k
- Placed
- Feb 27, 20:36 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 21:30 EST
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- statwC00KS
- Tx
- 0xb822041d…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+1.3 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +30 ptsThunder price · entry 70¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $166.7k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $79.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $34.5k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 89¢ | $12.4k | excluded |