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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
SELL No @ 96.4¢ · 12,449 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081 took No (sell) for $12.0k at an average 96.4¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.4¢
- Implied odds
- 3.6%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Feb 25, 09:47 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 00:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081
- Tx
- 0xb593e7e4…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+9.9 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -4 ptsNo price · entry 96.4¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $57.9k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $25.5k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $49.4k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.7k | excluded |