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What this means. A wallet put $27.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.0k
BUY Yes @ 95.5¢ · 28,304 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet SmallFishInWhaleStomach took Yes (buy) for $27.0k at an average 95.5¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $27.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2134American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.5¢
- Implied odds
- 95.5%
- Size
- $27.0k
- Placed
- Mar 02, 19:28 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- SmallFishInWhaleStomach
- Tx
- 0xb316abd2…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-94.9 pts
expected 0.9 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.3k | excluded |