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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$13.3k

Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev

0x2c33…0563 bought Cameron Norrie at 30¢. The price gave that side a 30% chance. 44,264 shares, Oct 29, 09:45 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $13.3k on Cameron Norrie, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. The market resolved Daniil Medvedev, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x2c33…0563 bought Cameron Norrie for $13.3k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied 30% for the side they took. The market resolved Daniil Medvedev. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 3 of 5 on graded bets, +14.8 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $13.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 30¢ means
30%chance the market gave
+233American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cameron Norrie wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -30 pts
Cameron Norrie price · entry 30¢ · resolved Daniil Medvedev
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 30¢ · $13.3k WHALE $13.3K @ 30¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevLOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ $32.9k0% Kkunn10h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevLOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ $18.5k0% Illiasca10h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevLOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ $18.3k0% kkookkoo10h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevLOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ $35.6k0% 0xc1a9…e2db10h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevLOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ $15.5k0% 0xb985…b70d10h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevMED SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 77¢ $33.6k23% austr10h agoExcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

YES Daniil Medvedev$11.3k95¢10h ago
YES Daniil Medvedev$12.0k95¢10h ago
YES Daniil Medvedev$84.5k95¢10h ago
NO Cameron Norrie$14.8k95¢10h ago
YES Daniil Medvedev$28.5k95¢10h ago
NO Cameron Norrie$12.1k95¢10h ago
YES Daniil Medvedev$69.8k87¢10h ago
YES Daniil Medvedev$10.0k87¢10h ago