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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$35.6k

Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev

0xc1a9…e2db sold Daniil Medvedev at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 35,592 shares, Oct 29, 11:14 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $35.6k on not Daniil Medvedev, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Daniil Medvedev, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0xc1a9…e2db sold Daniil Medvedev for $35.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Daniil Medvedev. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 2 on graded bets, -24.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $35.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevLOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ $32.9k0% Kkunn10h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevLOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ $18.5k0% Illiasca10h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevLOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ $18.3k0% kkookkoo10h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevLOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ $15.5k0% 0xb985…b70d10h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevMED SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 77¢ $33.6k23% austr10h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevMED BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 96.1¢ $60.0k96% Paul97397310h agoExcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

YES Daniil Medvedev$11.3k95¢10h ago
YES Daniil Medvedev$12.0k95¢10h ago
YES Daniil Medvedev$84.5k95¢10h ago
NO Cameron Norrie$14.8k95¢10h ago
YES Daniil Medvedev$28.5k95¢10h ago
NO Cameron Norrie$12.1k95¢10h ago
YES Daniil Medvedev$69.8k87¢10h ago
YES Daniil Medvedev$10.0k87¢10h ago