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Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $17.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.3k
BUY No @ 97.7¢ · 17,702 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took No (buy) for $17.3k at an average 97.7¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4248American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.7¢
- Implied odds
- 97.7%
- As American odds
- −4248 no vig
- Size
- $17.3k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 01:00 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0xb1a720b8…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 97.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $61.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 4.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |