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What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
SELL No @ 80¢ · 12,893 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet madkkee took No (sell) for $10.3k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 20.0%
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- Apr 08, 09:37 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 15, 19:55 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- madkkee
- Tx
- 0xb0c47a4e…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-8.7 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -20 ptsNo price · entry 80¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.5k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.6k | excluded |