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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$68.7k

Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz

tennischamp sold Carlos Alcaraz at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 68,775 shares, Oct 29, 13:40 EDT.

Alert on this wallet
What this means. A wallet put $68.7k on not Carlos Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Carlos Alcaraz, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet tennischamp sold Carlos Alcaraz for $68.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Carlos Alcaraz. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -80.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $68.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)3× this wallet's usual betSports

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz - Match ATP - Erste Bank Open 1970Quarter-final - tennismajors.com · Google News · 6h agoLIVE/FREE:Carlos Alcaraz V Nikoloz Basilashvili LIVE On FREE Vienna Open 29th JUN. 2026Vantage Data Centers · Google News · 9h agoSOCCER@TV! Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Live HS Football 2026Vantage Data Centers · Google News · 10h ago@[CALCIO/TV]] Nikoloz Basilashvili - Carlos Alcaraz In Diretta Streaming Tv HS Football 2026Vantage Data Centers · Google News · 10h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazLOW SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% prabam NEW6h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 93.3¢ $51.3k93% yupiiiiiiiii6h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazLOW SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 91.2¢ $17.7k9% casper76h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazMED BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 96.9¢ $12.9k97% prabam NEW7h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 90¢ $24.9k90% casper78h agoCalled
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazExcluded
SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 99.9¢$11.5k
LOW New wallet prabam · 6h ago
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazExcluded
BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 93.3¢$51.3k
LOW yupiiiiiiiii · 6h ago
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazExcluded
SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 91.2¢$17.7k
LOW casper7 · 6h ago
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazExcluded
BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 96.9¢$12.9k
MED New wallet prabam · 7h ago
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazCalled
BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 90¢$24.9k
LOW casper7 · 8h ago

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$111.6k91¢7h ago
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NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$110.5k91¢7h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$111.1k91¢7h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$81.1k91¢7h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$10.3k91¢7h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$202.8k91¢7h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$16.5k91¢7h ago