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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$12.9k

Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz

prabam bought Carlos Alcaraz at 96.9¢. The price gave that side a 97% chance. 13,266 shares, Oct 29, 12:07 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on Carlos Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market resolved Carlos Alcaraz, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet prabam bought Carlos Alcaraz for $12.9k at an average 96.9¢. At that price the market implied 97% for the side they took. The market resolved Carlos Alcaraz. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $12.9k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3126American odds
$1.00paid per share if Carlos Alcaraz wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +3 pts
Carlos Alcaraz price · entry 96.9¢ · resolved Carlos Alcaraz
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 96.9¢ · $12.9k WHALE $12.9K @ 96.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazLOW SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ $68.7k
3.0× usual
0% tennischamp6h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazLOW SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% prabam NEW6h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 93.3¢ $51.3k93% yupiiiiiiiii6h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazLOW SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 91.2¢ $17.7k9% casper76h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 90¢ $24.9k90% casper79h agoCalled

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$111.6k91¢8h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$111.1k91¢8h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$110.5k91¢8h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$111.1k91¢8h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$81.1k91¢8h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$10.3k91¢8h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$202.8k91¢8h ago
NO Nikoloz Basilashvili$16.5k91¢8h ago