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What this means. A wallet put $43.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$43.2k
BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ · 44,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Vilgefortz took Yes (buy) for $43.2k at an average 98.1¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $43.2k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.1¢
- Implied odds
- 98.1%
- Size
- $43.2k
- Placed
- Apr 01, 11:26 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Vilgefortz
- Tx
- 0xaf2fe02f…
This wallet's graded record
9/9+27.0 pts
expected 6.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.5k | excluded |