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What this means. A wallet put $219.6k on France, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
France vs. Spain: Team to Advanceexcluded
$219.6k
BUY France @ 56¢ · 390,639 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet luke7777 took France (buy) for $219.6k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $219.6k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−128American odds
$1.00paid per share if France wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
56¢
Implied odds
56.2%
As American odds
−128 no vig
Size
$219.6k
Placed
Jul 14, 14:38 EDT
Market close
Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
Result
Spain
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
luke7777
Tx
0xae73074c…

Entry to resolution

Grade -56 pts
France price · entry 56¢ · resolved Spain
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 56¢ · $219.6k WHALE $219.6K @ 56¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $10.8k0% 0xf892…8acb101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $246.3k
5.0× usual
0% Hugewinner101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $10.7k0% NTSS101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $41.9k
2.9× usual
0% bigd17101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $35.7k0% anon.1980.123101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.5¢ $51.6k
2.4× usual
0% machbut101d agoexcluded