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What this means. A wallet put $91.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
$91.9k
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ · 92,116 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.2× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet debased took Yes (sell) for $91.9k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $91.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$91.9k
Placed
Apr 26, 14:07 EDT
Market close
Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
debased
Tx
0xae30b7fa…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+12.5 pts
expected 11.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $91.9k WHALE $91.9K @ 99.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% Tigerofthehood177d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
2.9× usual
0% pako177d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $67.4k0% JAHODA177d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% QMG-CORE177d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% QMG-MACRO177d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $112.5k100% books1 NEW177d agoexcluded