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What this means. A wallet put $45.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$45.3k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 45,367 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)3.3× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 148572738484 took Yes (sell) for $45.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $45.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $45.3k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 08:59 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 148572738484
- Tx
- 0xae18dd29…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-15.7 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $88.9k | excluded |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.4k | excluded |