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What this means. A wallet put $66.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?excluded
$66.4k
BUY Yes @ 50¢ · 132,669 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.3× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet rabbitfoot1 took Yes (buy) for $66.4k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $66.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
50.1%
As American odds
−100 no vig
Size
$66.4k
Placed
Jul 03, 19:42 EDT
Market close
Jul 03, 18:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
rabbitfoot1
Tx
0xadc2d4a2…
This wallet's graded record
4/9-6.6 pts
expected 4.6 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $90.4k
2.8× usual
0% 0xec44…c92b112d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $79.6k
3.4× usual
0% Jittz112d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% qiqimao112d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $40.9k0% shutitfatty112d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.3k0% Coudet112d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $999.0k
19.2× usual
0% myzbsq112d agoexcluded