← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $47.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$47.0k
SELL No @ 94¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Pajamapants took No (sell) for $47.0k at an average 94¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $47.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94¢
- Implied odds
- 6.0%
- Size
- $47.0k
- Placed
- Jun 08, 21:27 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pajamapants
- Tx
- 0xac5d4a4e…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+27.4 pts
expected 7.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +94 ptsNo price · entry 94¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |