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What this means. A wallet put $10.9k on Aryna Sabalenka, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.9k
BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ · 12,225 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet tradecraft took Aryna Sabalenka (buy) for $10.9k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved Diana Shnaider. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−809American odds
$1.00paid per share if Aryna Sabalenka wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 89.0%
- As American odds
- −809 no vig
- Size
- $10.9k
- Placed
- Jun 03, 07:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 03, 07:30 EDT
- Result
- Diana Shnaider
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- tradecraft
- Tx
- 0xab7ac43d…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -89 ptsAryna Sabalenka price · entry 89¢ · resolved Diana Shnaider
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Diana Shnaider @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Diana Shnaider @ 99.9¢ | $26.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ | $17.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ | $48.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ | $116.6k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ | $51.5k 2.0× usual |
missed |