tradecraft

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland+$971Namibia · avg 67¢ → 88¢ · $3,994 Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Yihan Qu vs Teodora Kostovic+$65Teodora Kostovic · avg 85¢ → 90.5¢ · $1,139 Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Joel Schwaerzler vs Titouan Droguet−$50Titouan Droguet · avg 71¢ → 62¢ · $311 ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya+$88Kenya · avg 53¢ → 80¢ · $269 Will US Cremonese win on 2026-10-24?+$75No · avg 50¢ → 80¢ · $200 Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?−$9Yes · avg 58¢ → 55¢ · $135 · 1 proven with, 0 against Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?+$12Yes · avg 29¢ → 32¢ · $124 Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?−$10Yes · avg 35¢ → 31¢ · $81

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$82.6k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$920.8k

Last 30 days +$63.5k · $77.63M volume · 228,374 trades · since Jan 30, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$4.57M

Open P&L · 500 positions

−$27.3k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

267d

14201 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton	LOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 76¢	$22.8k 2.0× usual	76%	40d ago	excluded
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff	LOW BUY Coco Gauff @ 77¢	$11.5k	77%	44d ago	excluded
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 67¢	$10.1k	67%	45d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils	LOW BUY Arthur Fils @ 85¢	$10.1k	85%	67d ago	excluded
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev	LOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 86¢	$17.2k	86%	138d ago	excluded
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	LOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢	$10.9k	89%	143d ago	excluded

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonexcluded

BUY Alexander Zverev @ 76¢$22.8k

LOW tradecraft · 40d ago

US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauffexcluded

BUY Coco Gauff @ 77¢$11.5k

LOW tradecraft · 44d ago

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcarazexcluded

BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 67¢$10.1k

LOW tradecraft · 45d ago

Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsexcluded

BUY Arthur Fils @ 85¢$10.1k

LOW tradecraft · 67d ago

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevexcluded

BUY Alexander Zverev @ 86¢$17.2k

LOW tradecraft · 138d ago

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderexcluded

BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢$10.9k

LOW tradecraft · 143d ago

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