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What this means. A wallet put $48.0k on Aryna Sabalenka, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.0k
BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ · 53,738 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)2.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Marcoli took Aryna Sabalenka (buy) for $48.0k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved Diana Shnaider. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $48.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−837American odds
$1.00paid per share if Aryna Sabalenka wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 89.3%
- As American odds
- −837 no vig
- Size
- $48.0k
- Placed
- Jun 03, 06:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 03, 07:30 EDT
- Result
- Diana Shnaider
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Marcoli
- Tx
- 0x047dde44…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-13.2 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -89 ptsAryna Sabalenka price · entry 89¢ · resolved Diana Shnaider
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider | LOW SELL Diana Shnaider @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider | LOW SELL Diana Shnaider @ 99.9¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider | LOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider | LOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider | MED BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ | $116.6k | missed |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider | LOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ | $51.5k 2.0× usual |
missed |