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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
SELL Yes @ 10¢ · 103,571 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x3ff4…7ebb took Yes (sell) for $10.5k at an average 10¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 10¢
- Implied odds
- 89.8%
- As American odds
- −885 no vig
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 20:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x3ff4…7ebb
- Tx
- 0xab40bd7e…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-8.7 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |