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What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
BUY Yes @ 35¢ · 29,478 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet aenews2 took Yes (buy) for $10.3k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+187American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 34.8%
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- May 20, 13:37 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aenews2
- Tx
- 0xaac8779e…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |