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What this means. A wallet put $49.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.1k
SELL No @ 78¢ · 63,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x7177…ddef took No (sell) for $49.1k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $49.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 22.0%
- Size
- $49.1k
- Placed
- Mar 09, 15:39 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x7177…ddef
- Tx
- 0xaaac757a…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-5.1 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |