WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $46.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?excluded
$46.5k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 46,574 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.3× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet .sorry took No (sell) for $46.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $46.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$46.5k
Placed
May 11, 20:12 EDT
Market close
May 14, 20:38 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
.sorry
Tx
0xa969c5bd…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+84.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $46.5k WHALE $46.5K @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $56.8k
2.0× usual
0% aenews2 LOSING165d agoexcluded
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $986.0k
3.0× usual
100% 0x6fec…3be3165d agoexcluded
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $849.4k100% 0x90ca…1a4b165d agoexcluded
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $794.9k
19.9× usual
100% 0x6ede…97a2165d agoexcluded
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $963.1k
7.3× usual
100% 0x7750…5226165d agoexcluded
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $30.3k0% 66601165d agoexcluded