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What this means. A wallet put $89.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -21.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$89.3k
SELL Yes @ 17¢ · 518,307 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)4.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet denizz took Yes (sell) for $89.3k at an average 17¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $89.3k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 17¢
- Implied odds
- 82.8%
- Size
- $89.3k
- Placed
- May 27, 12:39 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- denizz
- Tx
- 0xa8e2b59d…
This wallet's graded record
7/24-21.7 pts
expected 12.2 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +17 ptsYes price · entry 17¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $100.1k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |