← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $36.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$36.7k
SELL No @ 49¢ · 75,577 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x1c12…79d9 took No (sell) for $36.7k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $36.7k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 51.5%
- Size
- $36.7k
- Placed
- Jan 29, 18:22 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x1c12…79d9
- Tx
- 0xa7abb5b6…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-10.4 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsNo price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.0k | excluded |