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What this means. A wallet put $79.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$79.5k
BUY Yes @ 90.1¢ · 88,233 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.8× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Car took Yes (buy) for $79.5k at an average 90.1¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $79.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−909American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90.1¢
- Implied odds
- 90.1%
- Size
- $79.5k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 09:37 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Car
- Tx
- 0xa67120e2…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-16.1 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |