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Xi Jinping out in 2025?called
What this means. A wallet put $186.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Xi Jinping out in 2025?called$186.7k
BUY No @ 89¢ · 209,947 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x642a…95b7 took No (buy) for $186.7k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $186.7k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−802American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 88.9%
- Size
- $186.7k
- Placed
- Jul 25, 07:16 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x642a…95b7
- Tx
- 0xa56ad781…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+11.1 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |