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0x642a…95b7

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +11.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+11.1 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$186.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$23.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $495.7k volume · 3,048 trades · since Jul 25, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$23.9k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$744
Closed-position win rate
86%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
457d
9 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other110.9+11.1 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Xi Jinping out in 2025?MED BUY No @ 89¢ $186.7k89% 456d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x642a28…