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What this means. A wallet put $195.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$195.8k
BUY No @ 97.9¢ · 200,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)4.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet borntoolate.eth took No (buy) for $195.8k at an average 97.9¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $195.8k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4662American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.9¢
- Implied odds
- 97.9%
- As American odds
- −4662 no vig
- Size
- $195.8k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 22:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 21:10 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- borntoolate.eth
- Tx
- 0xa448cb55…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+11.3 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 97.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $44.9k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $61.8k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $34.8k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $65.7k | called |