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What this means. A wallet put $15.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 10% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.3k
SELL No @ 90¢ · 17,026 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (sell) for $15.3k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 10% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $15.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 90¢
- Implied odds
- 10.0%
- Size
- $15.3k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 09:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0xa3590a32…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |