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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$43.2k

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

0x4488…e319 bought No at 72¢. The price gave that side a 72% chance. 60,000 shares, Oct 29, 05:36 EDT.

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What this means. A wallet put $43.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x4488…e319 bought No for $43.2k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied 72% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $43.2k+1
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What 72¢ means
72%chance the market gave
−257American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +2.5 pts
No price · entry 72¢ · now 74¢
67¢72¢78¢ Whale entry 72¢ · $43.2k WHALE $43.2K @ 72¢ +3 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
State Senate Democratic Committee: Senate Republicans Forced to Play Defense in Republican Stronghold DistrictsWisPolitics · Google News · 12m agoHow Trump's immigration crackdown sparked a backlash that could undermine Republicans' campaignsPBS · Google News · 55m agoFarmer-funded attack ads targeting Republicans air across rural AmericaReuters · Google News · 2h agoMassachusetts Republicans are bracing for a tough election on TuesdayWBUR · Google News · 10h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY No @ 73¢ $18.2k73% nigiri9942m agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY No @ 73¢ $36.5k73% 0x4488…e3192h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
BUY No @ 73¢$18.2k
LOW nigiri99 · 42m ago
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
BUY No @ 73¢$36.5k
LOW 0x4488…e319 · 2h ago