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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Heat, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +21.0 pts vs the price over 28 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Heatexcluded
$15.0k
BUY Heat @ 54¢ · 27,640 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet BrotherObama took Heat (buy) for $15.0k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−119American odds
$1.00paid per share if Heat wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
54¢
Implied odds
54.3%
As American odds
−119 no vig
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Oct 21, 19:30 EDT
Market close
Oct 21, 19:30 EDT
Result
Timberwolves
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
BrotherObama
Tx
0xa0b354f1…
This wallet's graded record
20/28+21.0 pts
expected 14.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -54 pts
Heat price · entry 54¢ · resolved Timberwolves
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 54¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 54¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Timberwolves vs. HeatMED BUY Timberwolves @ 73¢ $33.6k73% PowerSupplyUnit2d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. HeatMED SELL Timberwolves @ 75¢ $74.6k
2.6× usual
25% Woaifacai2d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. HeatLOW BUY Heat @ 46¢ $16.3k46% 0x2c33…05632d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. HeatLOW BUY Timberwolves @ 53¢ $14.5k53% Woaifacai2d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. HeatLOW BUY Heat @ 57¢ $16.0k57% Mr.Ape2d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. HeatMED BUY Heat @ 54¢ $81.9k54% BreakTheBank PROVEN2d agoexcluded