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Timberwolves vs. Heatexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Heat, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +21.0 pts vs the price over 28 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Heat @ 54¢ · 27,640 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet BrotherObama took Heat (buy) for $15.0k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−119American odds
$1.00paid per share if Heat wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 54.3%
- As American odds
- −119 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 19:30 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Timberwolves
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BrotherObama
- Tx
- 0xa0b354f1…
This wallet's graded record
20/28+21.0 pts
expected 14.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -54 ptsHeat price · entry 54¢ · resolved Timberwolves
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED BUY Timberwolves @ 73¢ | $33.6k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Timberwolves @ 75¢ | $74.6k 2.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Heat @ 46¢ | $16.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 53¢ | $14.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Heat @ 57¢ | $16.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Heat @ 54¢ | $81.9k | excluded |