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What this means. A wallet put $35.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$35.7k
BUY No @ 42¢ · 85,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x1eda…cc4d took No (buy) for $35.7k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $35.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- Size
- $35.7k
- Placed
- Feb 05, 03:40 EST
- Market close
- Feb 09, 23:34 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x1eda…cc4d
- Tx
- 0xa06cd3e0…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -42 ptsNo price · entry 42¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $930.6k 6.0× usual |
excluded |