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Thunder vs. Spursexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $51.2k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Spursexcluded$51.2k
BUY Thunder @ 50¢ · 102,000 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x20d6…3856 took Thunder (buy) for $51.2k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $51.2k+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−101American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.2%
- As American odds
- −101 no vig
- Size
- $51.2k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 21:34 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 20, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x20d6…3856
- Tx
- 0x9fe4e68a…
This wallet's graded record
3/5-7.7 pts
expected 3.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +50 ptsThunder price · entry 50¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.8¢ | $34.5k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 98¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | MED BUY Thunder @ 79¢ | $46.0k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | MED BUY Thunder @ 93¢ | $106.2k | excluded |