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What this means. A wallet put $11.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.4k
BUY Yes @ 96.9¢ · 11,788 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet alliswell took Yes (buy) for $11.4k at an average 96.9¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3099American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.9¢
- Implied odds
- 96.9%
- Size
- $11.4k
- Placed
- May 22, 20:26 EDT
- Market close
- May 23, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- alliswell
- Tx
- 0x9fdfc1e9…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+7.9 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -97 ptsYes price · entry 96.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $199.7k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $12.3k | excluded |