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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
BUY No @ 52¢ · 20,209 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x5ad4…6866 took No (buy) for $10.5k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Jun 18, 19:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 18, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x5ad4…6866
- Tx
- 0x9f5eb19c…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+11.3 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -52 ptsNo price · entry 52¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.1k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $18.1k | excluded |