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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +11.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+11.3 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$91.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$36.4k
Last 30 days −$5,866 · $5.10M volume · 1,417 trades · since Apr 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$328.2k
Open P&L · 130 positions
−$345.1k
Closed-position win rate
63%
261 closed
Wallet age · markets
185d
472 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.7 | +11.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $10.5k | called |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $13.0k | called |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | LOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 55¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
 France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 | MED BUY Under @ 72¢ | $29.0k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $10.5k | missed |
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