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Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $220.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?excluded$220.6k
BUY Yes @ 59¢ · 373,930 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)3.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet surfandturf took Yes (buy) for $220.6k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $220.6k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.0%
- As American odds
- −144 no vig
- Size
- $220.6k
- Placed
- Jun 13, 17:59 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 13, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- surfandturf
- Tx
- 0x9f5bb2fa…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -59 ptsYes price · entry 59¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $52.7k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $90.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |