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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
SELL No @ 97.2¢ · 15,004 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet Roflan-ludoman took No (sell) for $14.6k at an average 97.2¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.2¢
- Implied odds
- 2.8%
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- Feb 21, 07:05 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Roflan-ludoman
- Tx
- 0x9e51fdc5…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+49.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $44.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $268.4k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.8k | excluded |