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What this means. A wallet put $15.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.9k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 15,899 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x5813…b464 took No (sell) for $15.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $15.9k
- Placed
- Feb 22, 23:34 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x5813…b464
- Tx
- 0x76316b8c…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $44.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $268.4k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded |