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What this means. A wallet put $118.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$118.8k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 184,212 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xe6a3…2f0d took Yes (buy) for $118.8k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $118.8k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−182American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 64.5%
- As American odds
- −182 no vig
- Size
- $118.8k
- Placed
- Jan 28, 14:33 EST
- Market close
- Jan 28, 15:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xe6a3…2f0d
- Tx
- 0x9e2950b8…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+33.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -65 ptsYes price · entry 65¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $52.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 34¢ | $19.1k | excluded |