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What this means. A wallet put $118.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?excluded
$118.8k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 184,212 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xe6a3…2f0d took Yes (buy) for $118.8k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $118.8k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−182American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
65¢
Implied odds
64.5%
As American odds
−182 no vig
Size
$118.8k
Placed
Jan 28, 14:33 EST
Market close
Jan 28, 15:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xe6a3…2f0d
Tx
0x9e2950b8…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+33.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -65 pts
Yes price · entry 65¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 65¢ · $118.8k WHALE $118.8K @ 65¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $33.3k0% shan776269d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $52.1k
2.1× usual
0% norrisfan269d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.5k0% 0xa5aa…1449269d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% K9O269d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?LOW BUY No @ 36¢ $12.0k36% shan776269d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?LOW SELL No @ 34¢ $19.1k66% 0x9731…9b35269d agoexcluded