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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +31.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+31.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$71.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$74.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $28.56M volume · 242,610 trades · since Jul 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.59M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$749.0k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
472d
18981 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +31.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW SELL Patriots @ 31¢ | $12.6k | called |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? | LOW SELL No @ 34¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x973174…