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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +33.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+33.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$390.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$782.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $19.81M volume · 6,206 trades · since Dec 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2.48M
Open P&L · 131 positions
−$1.70M
Closed-position win rate
86%
278 closed
Wallet age · markets
308d
344 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +33.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Spurs @ 67¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | MED BUY Spurs @ 67¢ | $86.9k | called |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31? | MED BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $174.4k | excluded |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? | MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $118.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe6a377…