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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-14?excluded
$20.0k
BUY Yes @ 37¢ · 54,422 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet sport-intelligence took Yes (buy) for $20.0k at an average 37¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 37¢ means
37%chance the market gave
+172American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
37¢
Implied odds
36.8%
As American odds
+172 no vig
Size
$20.0k
Placed
Jul 14, 14:50 EDT
Market close
Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
sport-intelligence
Tx
0x9d15a4f7…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-3.5 pts
expected 1.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -37 pts
Yes price · entry 37¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 37¢ · $20.0k WHALE $20.0K @ 37¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will France win on 2026-07-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $46.4k0% anon.1980.123102d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-14?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $27.4k100% Jackenxand102d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $28.7k1% winner877102d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-14?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $53.8k100% allx1001102d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-14?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $11.6k99% AnewFaith102d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-14?LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $15.0k98% 0x8489…a276102d agoexcluded