← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $18.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 25% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-8.7 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.8k
SELL Yes @ 75¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet mr.ozi took Yes (sell) for $18.8k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 25% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 25.0%
- Size
- $18.8k
- Placed
- Sep 19, 08:38 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 21, 08:43 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mr.ozi
- Tx
- 0x9c7b89a6…
This wallet's graded record
11/21-8.7 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -25 ptsYes price · entry 75¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |